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Health Insurance Marketplace (ACA)

What happens if I underestimate my income for the premium tax credit?

If your income ends up higher than you estimated, you got too much advance credit, and you pay the difference back on your tax return. Starting with tax year 2026, there is no cap on that repayment. If your 2026 income lands above 400% of the poverty line, you repay all of the advance credit.

Updated October 15, 2026 · McDowell Business Resources Data Desk

How the true-up works

Your monthly credit is based on the income you expect. At tax time, you file Form 8962 to compare that advance credit with the credit your actual income allows.

If you got less than you were owed, the rest comes back as a refund or lowers your tax. If you got more, the extra is added to what you owe.

What happens at tax time (tax year 2026 onward)
Your actual incomeResult on your tax return
Lower than estimatedYou get the extra credit you were owed
About what you estimatedLittle or nothing changes
Higher, but at or below 400% of the poverty lineYou repay the excess, with no cap
Above 400% of the poverty lineYou repay all of the advance credit

The repayment cap is gone from 2026

Before 2026, many people with modest incomes had a cap on how much they had to pay back. The IRS says that beginning with tax year 2026, you must repay the full amount of any excess advance credit.

The 400% line makes this sharper. For 2026 coverage, that line is $62,600 for one person. Go one dollar over it and you lose the whole credit, so the full year's advance credit comes back on your return.

How to avoid a surprise bill

Report income changes to the Marketplace as soon as they happen. A raise, a new job or a large withdrawal from a retirement account can all change your credit. The Marketplace then adjusts your monthly credit.

You can also take less than the full advance credit each month. Our premium tax credit calculator lets you test different incomes. One conversation is usually enough to know whether this matters for you.

Frequently asked

No. Starting with tax year 2026, the IRS says the repayment caps no longer apply. You repay the full excess.
Form 8962, filed with your federal tax return. You need the Form 1095-A that the Marketplace sends you.
You were owed more credit than you received. The difference comes back as a refund or reduces the tax you owe.

Sources & methodology

Every figure on this page is labelled with its year and comes from the sources listed here. We review answers when CMS, the IRS or HHS publishes new figures.

Compiled by the McDowell Business Resources Data Desk. Last reviewed: October 15, 2026.

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McDowell Business Resources is not affiliated with or endorsed by the U.S. government, the federal Medicare program, or CMS.

This page is general education, not insurance, tax, legal or investment advice. Figures are dated where shown and can change; your situation may differ, and product availability varies by state and carrier. McDowell Business Resources (MBR Insurance & Financial Services) is an independent agency, not an insurance carrier.

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